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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
49.63% ( -0.15) | 23.3% ( 0.01) | 27.07% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.05) | 41.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.05) | 64.08% ( -0.06) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -0.04) | 16.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( -0.06) | 47.04% ( 0.06) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( 0.13) | 28.54% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( 0.16) | 64.32% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.07% |
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