Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
51.1%	24%	24.91%

Both teams to score 54.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41%

46.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14%

68.86%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75%

18.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71%

49.29%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18%

32.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.61%

69.39%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 51.1%

Wellington Phoenix 24.91%

Draw 24%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.1%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.91%