MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 07:14:47
SM
Ipswich vs. Man United: 9 hrs 15 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
WP
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jan 2, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
MC

Wellington
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Ball (16')
Ugarkovic (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leckie (18'), MacLaren (51' pen., 90+6')
Bos (7'), Good (22'), van der Venne (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, December 27 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

We said: Wellington Phoenix 0-1 Melbourne City

Melbourne City have often eased past the challenge of whoever has gone against them this season, but Monday's fixture is set to be far from straightforward for the current A-League leaders. However, we still fancy them to get the job done come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne City
19.19% (0.11 0.11) 20.91% (0.064 0.06) 59.9% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-0.127 -0.13)39.63% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02% (-0.131 -0.13)61.98% (0.131 0.13)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (0.036999999999992 0.04)34.21% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.9% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)12.87% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.73% (-0.182 -0.18)39.27% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 19.19%
    Melbourne City 59.9%
    Draw 20.91%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.2% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.73% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.19%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 59.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 17 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-3 Western Utd
Sunday, November 13 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 4-1 Macarthur
Sunday, November 6 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, December 27 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 5 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .