SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
41.24% ( -0.12) | 24.28% ( -0.12) | 34.48% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( 0.65) | 42.61% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( 0.64) | 65.01% ( -0.64) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.22) | 20.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.55% ( 0.35) | 53.45% ( -0.35) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.44) | 24.25% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.62) | 58.61% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.48% |
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