Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
