Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.