SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kalmar | 21 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Malmo | 21 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
| 3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Braga |
24.95% ( 0.02) | 24.36% ( 0.04) | 50.69% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.15) | 48.1% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.14) | 70.26% ( 0.14) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.07) | 33.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( -0.07) | 70.25% ( 0.07) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.08) | 18.99% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.13) | 50.53% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.95% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
