SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
51.72% ( 0.17) | 26.47% ( -0.01) | 21.81% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.29% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( -0.09) | 58.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( -0.07) | 79.36% ( 0.07) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.04) | 22.9% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.06) | 56.66% ( -0.06) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.21) | 42.55% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.09% ( -0.18) | 78.91% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.07% Total : 21.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
