SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | River Plate |
14.75% ( 0.01) | 22.16% ( 0.01) | 63.08% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( 0) | 52.45% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( 0) | 74.12% ( -0) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.02) | 47.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.27% ( 0.02) | 82.72% ( -0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( -0) | 16.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.54% ( -0.01) | 45.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.75% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 13.9% 0-2 @ 12.7% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.79% 0-4 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.83% Total : 63.07% |
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