SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Huracan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Huracan |
22.06% ( 1.98) | 27.12% ( 0.65) | 50.82% ( -2.63) |
| Both teams to score 42.92% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.21% ( -0.33) | 60.8% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( -0.25) | 80.84% ( 0.25) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.58% ( 1.94) | 43.42% ( -1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.36% ( 1.57) | 79.64% ( -1.57) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -1.31) | 24.15% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( -1.9) | 58.46% ( 1.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.16)Other @ 1% Total : 22.06% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 14.89% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( -0.71)1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.3% Total : 50.81% |
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