Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
