SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 46.79% | 27.94% | 25.27% |
| Both teams to score 43.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% | 81.14% |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% | 61.37% |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.45% | 40.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.85% | 77.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.94% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.27% |
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