SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
40.13% ( -0.25) | 28.21% ( -0.01) | 31.66% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( 0.08) | 59.51% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( 0.06) | 79.87% ( -0.06) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -0.11) | 29.01% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( -0.13) | 64.91% ( 0.13) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.23) | 34.44% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( 0.24) | 71.15% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.66% |
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