Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.
