Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6

Jul 2, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Tucuman

Caseres (26'), Florentin (38'), Insua (82'), Brizuela (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Capasso (18')
Sandoval (43'), Pereyra (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Atletico Tucuman

Tucuman boast the better form heading into this clash, but Velez Sarsfield do possess the quality to resurrect their stuttering start. Expect the hosts to click into gear and take three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
61.9% ( -3.46)	23.46% ( 1.43)	14.63% ( 2.03)

Both teams to score 40.51% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.66% (

-1.37)

57.34% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.83% (

-1.1)

78.16% (

1.1)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

-1.71)

18.23% (

1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

-2.99)

49.27% (

2.99)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.55% (

2.36)

50.45% (

-2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.03% (

1.56)

84.97% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 61.89%

Atletico Tucuman 14.63%

Draw 23.46%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.93) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.6) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.8% Total : 61.89%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.43% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.52% Total : 14.63%