SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
61.9% ( -3.46) | 23.46% ( 1.43) | 14.63% ( 2.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.51% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( -1.37) | 57.34% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( -1.1) | 78.16% ( 1.1) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -1.71) | 18.23% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( -2.99) | 49.27% ( 2.99) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.55% ( 2.36) | 50.45% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.03% ( 1.56) | 84.97% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 15.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.82)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.6)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.8% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.43% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.52% Total : 14.63% |
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