SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
41.41% ( -0.46) | 29.27% ( 0.59) | 29.32% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.34% ( -1.93) | 63.65% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.06% ( -1.41) | 82.93% ( 1.41) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -1.21) | 30.31% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -1.47) | 66.49% ( 1.48) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( -1.18) | 38.48% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.77% ( -1.14) | 75.23% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.35% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.81)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.59% Total : 29.32% |
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