SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Sarmiento |
54.89% ( 0.09) | 26.42% ( -0.07) | 18.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.43% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.32% ( 0.19) | 61.68% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.5% ( 0.14) | 81.5% ( -0.14) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.12) | 22.73% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( 0.18) | 56.4% ( -0.18) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.32% ( 0.08) | 47.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17% ( 0.06) | 83% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 16.05% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.69% |
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