Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
