Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
