Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.27%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Banfield in this match.
