SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Patronato |
27.65% ( 0.26) | 26.21% ( 0.1) | 46.14% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( -0.25) | 53.67% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( -0.21) | 75.16% ( 0.21) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( 0.08) | 34.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.91% ( 0.09) | 71.09% ( -0.09) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.28) | 23.22% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( -0.41) | 57.12% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.14% |
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