SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Tigre |
42.55% ( -0) | 26.27% ( 0) | 31.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( -0.01) | 52.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( -0.01) | 74.02% ( 0.01) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.01) | 24.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( -0.01) | 58.78% ( 0.01) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.01) | 31.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% ( -0.01) | 67.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.18% |
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