Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
