There might be nothing to separate these two teams in terms of points right now, but their form is vastly different and the confidence they are both bringing in will reflect that.
The visitors should be able to continue their undefeated run here, particularly considering the poor defensive record that the hosts have.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
