SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | San Lorenzo |
26.49% ( 2.59) | 28.96% ( -0.24) | 44.55% ( -2.35) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.21% ( 2.05) | 63.78% ( -2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.97% ( 1.44) | 83.03% ( -1.44) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( 3.59) | 40.93% ( -3.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.5% ( 3.06) | 77.49% ( -3.06) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( -0.24) | 28.64% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( -0.3) | 64.45% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.27% Total : 26.49% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.92)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.38)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 14.65% ( -1.26) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.85)1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.55% |
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