SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 39.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.28% ( 0.48) | 30.39% ( 0.16) | 30.33% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 40.46% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.23% ( -0.59) | 66.77% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.89% ( -0.4) | 85.11% ( 0.4) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.01) | 33.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( -0.01) | 69.8% ( 0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.83) | 39.44% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% ( -0.78) | 76.13% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.39% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.47% Total : 30.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
