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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 4, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Patronato
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Herrera (43' pen.)
Nahuel Banega (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Janson (16')
Perrone (41'), Gomez (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Gimnasia vs. Patronato
Friday, June 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawVelez Sarsfield
30.62% (0.188 0.19) 27.62% (0.26 0.26) 41.75% (-0.448 -0.45)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.681 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3% (-0.898 -0.9)57.7% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (-0.717 -0.72)78.45% (0.718 0.72)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.336 -0.34)34.25% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (-0.362 -0.36)70.94% (0.364 0.36)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.658 -0.66)27.24% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (-0.865 -0.87)62.67% (0.867 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 30.62%
    Velez Sarsfield 41.75%
    Draw 27.62%
PatronatoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10% (0.249 0.25)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 13% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Patronato
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 0-6 Gimnasia
Saturday, April 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-2 Patronato
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 2-3 Racing
Wednesday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Patronato
Saturday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 0-1 Banfield
Sunday, April 10 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colon 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 9 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, May 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores


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