Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
