Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
52.89% ( -0.65) | 27.41% ( 0.16) | 19.7% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 39.49% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.3% ( -0) | 63.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.03% ( 0) | 82.97% ( 0) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.5% ( -0.29) | 24.5% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.04% ( -0.42) | 58.96% ( 0.42) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.3% ( 0.58) | 47.7% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.99% ( 0.42) | 83.01% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Boca Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
1-0 @ 16.43% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 52.88% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.7% |
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