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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 11, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Lanus

Benedetto (88')
Medina (34'), Varela (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (45+1')
Orozco (49'), Jose Caceres (52'), Lema (84'), Esquivel (85'), Aguirre (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Lanus

Although Lanus head into this match in better form, we expect Boca Juniors to record a win for the fourth time in their last five league games this weekend. The hosts have made a disappointing defence of their title so far this season, but they still have time to turn things around, and had looked capable of doing so before Weigandt's red card cost them in their last league match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
52.89% (-0.654 -0.65) 27.41% (0.156 0.16) 19.7% (0.499 0.5)
Both teams to score 39.49% (0.285 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.294 -0.29)24.5% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)58.96% (0.42 0.42)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (0.58 0.58)47.7% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (0.425 0.42)83.01% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 52.88%
    Lanus 19.7%
    Draw 27.4%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 16.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 11.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, June 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Tigre
Sunday, May 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, May 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-0 Belgrano
Sunday, May 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Lanus
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Lanus
Monday, May 15 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Huracan
Saturday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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