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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 11, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López

Colon
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Garces (29'), Abila (53')
Farias (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez (16')
Garayalde (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 0-2 Talleres
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Colon 0-0 Velez Sarsfield

Earlier this week, one of these sides experienced quite the emotional high, while the other went through a massive low, and with little time for either to recuperate from that kind of intensity, we expect this match to be a stagnant one between two teams who could be low on energy, while they are both average at best when it comes to attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
ColonDrawVelez Sarsfield
37.45% (-0.253 -0.25) 28.16% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 34.4% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 47.25% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11% (0.279 0.28)58.89% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.217 0.22)79.39% (-0.212 -0.21)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.29% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)66.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.358 0.36)32.23% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.404 0.4)68.72% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Colon 37.44%
    Velez Sarsfield 34.39%
    Draw 28.16%
ColonDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colon 0-2 Talleres
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Colon
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Colon
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colon 0-1 Huracan
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Colon
Sunday, June 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Rosario
Monday, June 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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