Earlier this week, one of these sides experienced quite the emotional high, while the other went through a massive low, and with little time for either to recuperate from that kind of intensity, we expect this match to be a stagnant one between two teams who could be low on energy, while they are both average at best when it comes to attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
Colon	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
37.45% ( -0.25)	28.16% ( -0.07)	34.4% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

0.28)

58.89% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.22)

79.39% (

-0.21)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0.01)

30.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.02)

66.47% (

0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.36)

32.23% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.4)

68.72% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Colon 37.44%

Velez Sarsfield 34.39%

Draw 28.16%

Colon	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.39%