SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
37.45% ( -0.25) | 28.16% ( -0.07) | 34.4% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( 0.28) | 58.89% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% ( 0.22) | 79.39% ( -0.21) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.01) | 30.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.02) | 66.47% ( 0.02) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( 0.36) | 32.23% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( 0.4) | 68.72% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.39% |
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