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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
DY

Arsenal
1 - 0
Defensa

Cejas (45+8' pen.)
Breitenbruch (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (37'), Gissi (45+6'), Bologna (45+7'), Schamine (45+10')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, September 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
31.58% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 27.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.92% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.58% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.84% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86%33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26%69.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.012999999999991 0.01)27.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.78% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.58%
    Defensa y Justicia 40.91%
    Draw 27.48%
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.58%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, September 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, August 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Instituto
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-1 Defensa
Sunday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, September 15 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division


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