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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Colon |
45.46% ( 0.46) | 27.89% ( 0.06) | 26.64% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.72% ( -0.45) | 60.28% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.55% ( -0.34) | 80.45% ( 0.34) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( 0.04) | 61.69% ( -0.04) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% ( -0.69) | 38.81% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% ( -0.66) | 75.54% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.64% |
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