SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
30.4% ( 0.24) | 28.62% ( 0.03) | 40.98% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.74% ( -0.03) | 61.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.81% ( -0.02) | 81.19% ( 0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.17) | 36.32% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( 0.17) | 73.11% ( -0.17) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.17) | 29.38% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( -0.21) | 65.36% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.98% |
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