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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
E

Independiente
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Benegas (52'), Fernandez (57' pen.)
Vigo (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godoy (82')
Rodriguez (30'), Spetale (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Estudiantes

Estudiantes seem to have found the right balance to be successful this season, and their tight defensive setup might be challenging for Independiente to break down, while El Leon make the majority of their opportunities count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
50.92% (-0.907 -0.91) 25.81% (0.217 0.22) 23.27% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (-0.18 -0.18)55.27% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.148 -0.15)76.5% (0.151 0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.458 -0.46)21.75% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.706 -0.71)54.94% (0.708 0.71)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.568 0.57)39.06% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.527 0.53)75.78% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 50.92%
    Estudiantes 23.27%
    Draw 25.81%
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-2 Ceara
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 4-0 Deportivo
Thursday, May 19 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Huracan
Saturday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aldosivi 0-1 Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Argentinos Jrs (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 11 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division


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