SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Huracan |
48.07% ( 0.36) | 25.18% ( -0.03) | 26.75% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.12) | 50.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.1) | 72.08% ( 0.1) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( 0.11) | 20.87% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( 0.17) | 53.57% ( -0.17) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.32) | 33.2% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.36) | 69.8% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.06% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.75% |
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