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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 3, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Avalos (9' pen.), Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (81')
Avalos (54'), Galdames (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Villarreal (84')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 2-3 Independiente
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawGimnasia
49.98% (-0.202 -0.2) 29.19% (-0.266 -0.27) 20.82% (0.461 0.46)
Both teams to score 36.92% (1.016 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.24% (1.003 1)67.76% (-1.01 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.22% (0.659 0.66)85.77% (-0.666 -0.67)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.392 0.39)27.78% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.502 0.5)63.36% (-0.509 -0.51)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.12% (1.132 1.13)48.88% (-1.139 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.13% (0.798 0.8)83.87% (-0.804 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 49.97%
    Gimnasia 20.82%
    Draw 29.17%
IndependienteDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 17.39% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 49.97%
0-0 @ 13.57% (-0.52 -0.52)
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.48% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Talleres 2-3 Independiente
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Sarmiento
Friday, January 24 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Independiente
Saturday, December 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, December 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 C. Cordoba
Sunday, December 1 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-1 Independiente
Tuesday, November 26 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 3-0 Gimnasia
Saturday, January 25 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, December 15 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Talleres
Sunday, December 8 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Gimnasia
Monday, December 2 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Tucuman
Sunday, November 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division


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