Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lanus | Draw | Independiente |
39.88% ( 0.05) | 28.24% ( 0.01) | 31.89% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.45% ( -0.05) | 59.55% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.1% ( -0.04) | 79.89% ( 0.04) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( 0) | 29.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% | 65.11% |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% ( -0.07) | 34.3% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29% ( -0.08) | 71% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lanus | Draw | Independiente |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: