SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
52.37% ( 1.28) | 28.66% ( -0.01) | 18.97% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 35.93% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.97) | 67.78% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.21% ( -0.65) | 85.78% ( 0.66) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.15) | 26.63% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.2) | 61.86% ( -0.19) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.97% ( -2.08) | 51.03% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.64% ( -1.44) | 85.36% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 17.98% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.52)2-1 @ 8% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 52.36% | 0-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.48) 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.28% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.97% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
