SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente |
59.43% ( -0.27) | 22.97% ( -0.04) | 17.61% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.63) | 50.93% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( 0.56) | 72.8% ( -0.55) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.13) | 16.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( 0.23) | 46.77% ( -0.23) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( 0.76) | 42.63% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( 0.64) | 78.98% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.61% |
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