Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
