Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.6%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.05%) and 1-0 (12.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.07%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Sarmiento
81.6% ( 0.01)	13.07% ( -0.01)	5.32% ( -0)

Both teams to score 36.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

0.01)

41.37% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

0.01)

63.77% (

-0.02)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.12% (

7.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.11% (

0.01)

27.88% (

-0.02)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.4% (

-0)

60.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.04% (

-0)

90.95% (

-0)

Score Analysis

River Plate 81.59%

Sarmiento 5.32%

Draw 13.07%

River Plate	Draw	Sarmiento
2-0 @ 15.41% 3-0 @ 13.05% 1-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 81.59%	1-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 13.07%	0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 5.32%