SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (13.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Lanus |
37.05% ( 0.08) | 31.24% ( 0.03) | 31.71% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 38.76% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.09) | 68.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.44% ( -0.06) | 86.56% ( 0.06) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0) | 35.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( 0) | 72.59% ( -0) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.38% ( -0.13) | 39.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.7% ( -0.12) | 76.3% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.05% | 0-0 @ 14.18% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.49% 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.24% | 0-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 31.7% |
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