Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 41.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
