SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.82%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Sarmiento |
56.33% ( 2.53) | 27.19% ( 0.35) | 16.48% ( -2.88) |
| Both teams to score 35.5% ( -4.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.79% ( -3.91) | 66.21% ( 3.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.27% ( -2.77) | 84.73% ( 2.77) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.61) | 24.09% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( -0.88) | 58.38% ( 0.89) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.77% ( -5.97) | 53.23% ( 5.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.2% ( -4.11) | 86.8% ( 4.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 18.25% ( 2.18) 2-0 @ 12.99% ( 1.34)2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.54)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.33)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.36)Other @ 2.04% Total : 56.32% | 0-0 @ 12.82% ( 1.73) 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.69)Other @ 0.27% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.89)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.57)Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.48% |
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