MX23RW : Tuesday, August 16 13:53:37
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Aug 6, 2022 at 10pm UK at Estadio 15 de Abril
Union
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield
Castrillon (77'), Marabel (88')
Carlos Portillo (7'), Esquivel (54'), Ignacio Nardoni (86'), Roldan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Florentin (8')
Mulet (16'), Fernandez (29'), Fernandez (63'), Burian (70'), Osorio (82'), Caseres (90')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Talleres
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawVelez Sarsfield
39.64% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 28.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.7% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.93% (0.050000000000004 0.05)61.06% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.96% (0.038 0.04)81.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (0.034999999999997 0.03)30.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)66.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.022999999999996 0.02)35.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.023999999999997 0.02)71.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Union 39.64%
    Velez Sarsfield 31.69%
    Draw 28.65%
UnionDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 39.64%
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 31.69%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-2 Union
Wednesday, July 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-0 Huracan
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 2-3 Union
Saturday, July 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 3-0 Lanus
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Talleres
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, July 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Huracan
Tuesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
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Argentine Primera Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing ClubRacing1486025101530
2River PlateRiver Plate1492331121929
3Defensa y JusticiaDefensa147432619725
4Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs147432116525
5GimnasiaGimnasia147342420424
6Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB147251715223
7Sarmiento146351724-721
8BanfieldBanfield145451815319
9UnionUnion145271113-217
10San Lorenzo143651517-215
11Atletico TucumanTucuman142571323-1011
12TalleresTalleres14329921-1211
13Platense142481223-1110
14PatronatoPatronato1431101025-1510
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