Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.
