SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
30.3% ( -5) | 24.23% ( -0.26) | 45.46% ( 5.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( -0.48) | 43.89% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( -0.47) | 66.28% ( 0.46) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -3.26) | 27.42% ( 3.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.1% ( -4.41) | 62.89% ( 4.4) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 2.16) | 19.46% ( -2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.67% ( 3.42) | 51.32% ( -3.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.76) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.8)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.67)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.57)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.55) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.73)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 1.02)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.6)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.77)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.36)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.4)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.46% |
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