SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | America Mineiro |
56.25% ( 0.79) | 23.63% ( -0.27) | 20.11% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.44) | 50.17% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.39) | 72.13% ( -0.39) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( 0.45) | 17.65% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.78) | 48.27% ( -0.78) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.29) | 39.34% ( 0.29) |
