Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
