Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-2.1) 
0.81) 
