The visitors will have renewed confidence following their return to winning ways, and they meet Botafogo at a good time with Castro's side struggling for form.
We envisage an away victory on Sunday, with the Rubro-Negro having enough to outclass their hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
-0.33) 
0.44) 
